NFL followers and bettors have witnessed a ton of unpredictable stuff by two weeks, together with crippling accidents to superstars, 0-2 begins from perennially-strong groups, and the emergence of a number of gamers who have been largely unknown previous to this season. By all of the volatility and the numerous ups and downs, our weekly finest bets column has thrived. In the present day we’ll look to proceed our optimistic momentum and make you some extra cash with our favourite moneyline, unfold, over/underneath, and participant prop bets.
We have featured 25 bets on this column within the two weeks for the reason that NFL kicked off — and 15 of these bets have hit. Our 15-9-1 file would translate to a web revenue of effectively over $2,500 if you happen to wagered $100 on every wager. That is fairly the robust begin to a season — and now that now we have an even bigger pattern measurement to work with, we’re able to take our betting success to the following stage.
Your aim is to win cash, and our high precedence is that will help you obtain that aim. That is why we put in a ton of statistical analysis, assault all of the angles, uncover all of the betting developments, and pinpoint worth throughout BetMGM, SuperDraft, FanDuel, and numerous different sports activities betting websites every week.
Don’t fret — we can be holding ourselves accountable each step of the way in which. Every Friday, we’ll reveal our win-loss file for the earlier week, in addition to our up to date file on the season. We already talked about that now we have 15 hits and one push out of our 25 bets, and we’re as assured as ever in our greatest bets for Week 3.
MORE NFL WEEK Three PICKS: ATS | Moneyline
Sports activities betting would not have to be thought of ‘playing.’ With the correct mindset, methods, and preparedness, it turns into far much less of of venture and far more of an funding. That is why we do not simply name this a interest of ours — moderately, it is a second job that enables us to punch in whereas we’re sitting on our sofa.
This weekend’s slate contains a bunch of nice video games and a plethora of profitable alternatives for bettors. So, let’s go get that cash and reveal our greatest moneyline, unfold, over/underneath, and SuperDraft participant prop bets for Week Three of the 2023 NFL season.
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NFL Greatest Bets Week 3: Towards the unfold
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Titans (+3.5) vs. Browns
It appears odd to me that Tennessee can be getting over a area aim at dwelling in opposition to a Cleveland staff that has struggled mightily on offense and simply misplaced Nick Chubb for the season. However, we’ll take it!
The Titans ought to be capable to get DeAndre Hopkins and Treylon Burks going this weekend, contemplating George Pickens simply busted unfastened for 127 yards and a rating in opposition to the Browns regardless of Kenny Pickett seeing Myles Garrett-like ghosts within the pocket.
We additionally assume Derrick Henry ought to be capable to get one thing going, even when nearly all of his chunk-yardage comes on screens and brief dump-offs. Jaylen Warren amassed 66 yards by the air in opposition to Cleveland on Monday Evening Soccer, one thing Mike Vrabel’s squad will probably look to duplicate this weekend.
However the Titans protection ought to be the last word issue on this recreation. Whereas Ryan Tannehill has not appeared nice underneath middle for Tennessee, Deshaun Watson has appeared even worse for the Browns. And with Denico Autry and Jeffery Simmons barreling towards him with no Nick Chubb to bail him out, it may very well be an extended day in Nashville for the previous Professional Bowler.
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Titans 24, Browns 20
Lions -2.5 vs. Falcons (-140)
As we talked about in our Lions-Falcons betting preview, we just like the Lions -Three however we love them at -2.5 for a little bit additional juice. Detroit’s passing recreation has been nearly as good as marketed, with Jared Goff already making highlight-reel passes to Amon-Ra St. Brown and Josh Reynolds. And this may very well be the week that rookie again Jahmyr Gibbs breaks out and exhibits his insane burst within the open area.
Atlanta’s protection has improved mightily over the previous couple of seasons, with some key additions to its secondary making this a reliable NFC South contender. However this unit nonetheless has some issues to tighten up, like avoiding expensive penalties in late-game drives. This recreation marks the Falcons’ first street check of the season, a much more daunting problem than its first two dwelling video games in opposition to the Panthers and Packers.
And in the end, we do not belief Desmond Ridder to tug off a Ford Discipline upset in his seventh profession begin. The second-year QB has by no means thrown a landing on the street, the place his QB score is 73.eight in comparison with 96.6 at dwelling. We’re giving the Soiled Birds a variety of respect shopping for a half-point for the Lions, however we cannot give them the last word respect and wager on them to stun a great staff in enemy territory — they’ve to indicate us one thing first.
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Lions 23, Falcons 20
Different Week Three spreads we like: Dolphins -6.5 vs. Broncos; Cowboys -12.5 at Cardinals, Buccaneers (+5) vs. Eagles
Greatest NFL moneyline bets Week 3
Patriots (-140) at Jets
Invoice Belichick is single, his staff is 0-2 for the primary time since 2000, and he will get to face a Jets staff that he has owned all through his teaching profession. And I imply owned — the Patriots are 37-11 in opposition to Gang Inexperienced throughout Belichick’s tenure in New England.
The Pats held their very own at dwelling in opposition to arguably the perfect groups in every convention, Jalen Hurts and the NFC-champion Eagles and Tua Tagovailoa and the high-flying Dolphins. Mac Jones and his island of misfit large receivers had an opportunity to tie or win on the finish of each video games, however fell only a bit brief every time.
Now this Patriots protection has an opportunity to punch a feeble Zach Wilson within the mouth and take the Jets by storm for its first victory — and we expect that is precisely what is going to occur. It in all probability will not be all that fairly, however as a grandfather would possibly say “a win’s a win.”
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Patriots 17, Steelers 16
Chargers (-108) at Vikings
These groups are each 0-2, therefore the brief odds on either side. However let’s face it: Each these defenses stink, whereas the Chargers offense has been far superior than the Vikings. Los Angeles practically stopped Tua Time in Week 1 — it took 200-plus heroic yards from Tyreek Hill for the Fins to prevail — and the Bolts misplaced by simply three in opposition to a tricky Titans D final week.
All stated, Justin Herbert and firm have racked up 60 factors and 775 complete yards — and that is with out Austin Ekeler in Week 2. Even when Ekeler is not on the sector this week, we nonetheless like Joshua Kelley over Alexander Mattison and the woeful Vikings operating recreation.
And though Los Angeles would not have modern-day receiving GOAT Justin Jefferson like Kirk Cousins and the Vikings do, it does have Keenan Allen and Mike Williams in opposition to a suspect Minnesota secondary. We have the Bolts prevailing in one of many extra high-scoring affairs of the younger season.
FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Chargers 30, Vikings 28
Different Week Three moneylines we like: Rams (+114) at Bengals, Lions (-166) vs. Falcons
Greatest NFL over/underneath bets Week 3
Buccaneers OVER 20.5 vs. Eagles (+102)
Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers have appeared superior by two weeks, main many to consider Mayfield is the 2023 model of Geno Smith and the Seahawks final 12 months. The early-season redemptive run has been made attainable by the veteran’s robust reference to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, with a little bit of operating again Rachaad White and tight finish Cade Otton sprinkled in. The Bucs are enjoyable to observe once more, they usually’re being underestimated by BetMGM and the books on Monday Evening Soccer this week.
In the meantime, the Eagles are essentially the most unconvincing 2-Zero staff within the NFL. Jalen Hurts has appeared mediocre at finest within the pocket, Philly’s red-zone offense has relied closely on Hurts’ tush-push or bum-scrum or two-cheek sneak or no matter you maniacs need to name this cheat-code of a goal-line play. If the Buccaneers protection surprises primetime audiences the way in which they’ve shocked the remainder of us by two weeks, the Bucs would possibly immediately begin garnering some consideration within the playoff and Tremendous Bowl betting markets.
And if the Eagles protection retains underwhelming, Mayfield might enter the early-season MVP dialogue. We knew the Philadelphia front-seven can be considerably worse with the losses of Javon Hargrave and T.J. Edwards — and shedding Nakobe Dean to the IR due to a foot harm hasn’t helped issues. However the Eagles’ secondary has been the most important difficulty, which is a nasty drawback to have going into Tampa Bay to face a Bucs passing recreation averaging 243 air yards per recreation. Guess the Bucs OVER right here and benefit from the plus odds.
Different Week Three over/unders we like: Chargers-Vikings OVER 54, Seahawks OVER 23.5 vs. Panthers
Survivor Pool Picks | Cowboys-Cardinals | Lions-Falcons | Steelers-Raiders
Greatest NFL participant prop bets Week 3
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Travis Etienne, RB, Jaguars vs. Texans — OVER 68.5 speeding yards
Etienne is my Sloan-cold lock of the week, with the Jaguars on the lookout for a powerful bounce-back after an abysmal Week 2 exhibiting in opposition to the reigning-champion Chiefs. The Colts’ Zack Moss simply collected 88 speeding yards on 18 carries in opposition to Houston final week, so ETN ought to be capable to get to 69 earlier than the third body ends.
It was a Week 5 assembly with these Texans final 12 months that marked Etienne’s breakout, with the younger again speeding 10 instances for 71 yards and including 43 yards by the air. In Jacksonville’s 13 video games between Weeks 5 and 17, he completed with 69 speeding yards a whopping eight instances. He’ll do it once more this week in opposition to a Houston staff that is already been outscored 56-29 by two video games.
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Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys — OVER 21 completions AND OVER 231.5 passing yards
I am all-in on Prescott this week, as he lastly will get an opportunity to really exhibit his arm in opposition to a feeble Cardinals protection. He had horrible climate situations in Week 1 in opposition to the Giants, who received whooped so exhausting by Micah Parsons and the Cowboys’ protection that Dallas did not even want Dak. After which he went in opposition to a tricky Sauce Gardner-led Jets protection in Week 2.
Nonetheless, Prescott’s efficiency in opposition to Gang Inexperienced provides us loads of purpose for optimism. All stated, he accomplished 31-of-38 passes for 255 yards and two TDs. That is a Professional Bowl line in opposition to PFF’s No. 1 ranked secondary. Now he attracts an Arizona secondary that has surrendered 22.5 completions and 261.5 air yards per recreation? Yeah, we’re shopping for. We wish all that desert smoke, SuperDraft!
Josh Jacobs, RB, Raiders vs. Steelers — OVER 91.5 speeding + receiving yards
Josh Jacobs has endured a tricky begin to the choice, with simply 46 complete speeding yards by two video games. The reigning speeding champ has been stifled by two tough defenses on the street, the Broncos in Week 1 and Payments in Week 2. All the pieces adjustments for Jacobs this week, although, with the Steelers’ abysmal run D heading into Vegas for the Raiders’ home-opener.
By two weeks, Pittsburgh has surrendered the second-most speeding yards within the NFL to RBs (166.5 per recreation). And that is regardless of Nick Chubb happening early within the Monday Evening Soccer recreation in opposition to the Browns! The Steelers have additionally allowed 21 receiving yards per recreation to RBs, which pushes their complete weekly RB yield to 187.5 yards. These numbers ought to have Jacobs’ fantasy house owners and prop-betting buyers licking their chops.
Contemplating Jacobs bested 91.5 mixed speeding and receiving yards in 12 of 17 video games final 12 months — and he noticed the sector for 80 % of the Raiders’ offensive snaps of their shut Week 1 win over Denver — I really like the OVER right here. The air yards have been there for him — 74 yards in two weeks. If he places up these 37 receiving yards this week, all he’ll want is 55 floor yards.