The Tampa Bay Buccaneers attempt to pull one other main upset after they tackle the undefeated Chiefs in Kansas Metropolis on Monday (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC) to cap off NFL Week 9.
The Bucs (4-4), practically double-digit underdogs on NFL betting websites, have been big killers of kinds this season, highlighted by their 20-16 victory at Detroit (7-1) as 7.5-point underdogs in Week 2. Additionally they personal lopsided victories over NFC East front-runners Washington (7-2) and Philadelphia (6-2).
Kansas Metropolis, in the meantime, is 7-Zero and on a 13-game profitable streak that features its run to final season’s Tremendous Bowl title.
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Odds for Bucs vs. Chiefs: MNF unfold, complete, moneyline
Kansas Metropolis opened as a 9-point betting favourite final Sunday night time in Las Vegas, with the road holding largely regular round that quantity throughout early wagering. The over/beneath ticked up from 44.5 to 45.5.
Right here stay odds from high on-line sportsbooks.
In opposition to the unfold this season, Kansas Metropolis is 5-2. Tampa Bay is 4-Four ATS. As for totals, KC has gone OVER in three of seven video games this season. Tampa Bay, in the meantime, is 6-2 to the OVER, together with a present five-game run.
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Buccaneers vs. Chiefs traits to know
1. Tampa Bay’s wins over Washington, Detroit and Philly got here in Weeks 1-4, however the Bucs’ injury-weakened protection hasn’t been the identical since, permitting a median of 438.Eight yards a recreation. That unit has had ginormous hassle in opposition to the move in its previous two outings.
In Week 7. Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson posted a near-perfect passer ranking of 158.1 in a 41-31 victory. He additionally turned the one QB this season to throw for 5 TDs in a recreation with out an INT. Final week, Atlanta’s Kirk Cousins had a 145.9 ranking with 4 scoring throws and no INTs in a 31-26 triumph.
2. The Chiefs’ turnover differential of minus-Three is thanks largely to Mahomes’ 9 INTs, tied with the Bucs’ Baker Mayfield and behind solely Geno Smith and Jordan Love (10 picks every) for many within the NFL.
However KC is accustomed to dropping turnover battles. The Chiefs’ TO differential was minus-11 final season, but they nonetheless received the Tremendous Bowl.
3. Tampa Bay’s speeding recreation has come alive, averaging 5.1 yards a carry. Within the earlier two seasons, that norm was 3.4, worst within the NFL each years.
But it seems they won’t have a 1,000-yard rusher for the ninth straight season. Bucky Irving (questionable, toe) is TB’s high floor gainer, however is on tempo to achieve solely 840 yards.
Three issues to look at: Ball management may very well be key
1. KC had a 74-play benefit in offensive snaps the previous 5 weeks. One drive final Sunday in opposition to Las Vegas lasted 19 performs. The Chiefs might effectively dominate once more in opposition to a Bucs squad that twice has had a damaging differential of not less than 30 performs.
2. Each squads have fared effectively on third down this season, with Tampa Bay having a league-best 52.5 p.c success charge. KC is second at 50.6 p.c, boosted by final week’s 12-for-16 efficiency in opposition to the Raiders.
3. For the Bucs, even with out their two star receivers final week (Mike Evans hamstring; Chris Godwin IR, ankle), Mayfield threw a season-high 50 passes within the loss to Atlanta and accomplished 37 for 330 yards.
However such a excessive variety of throws hasn’t been a recipe for fulfillment. Groups this season which have put the ball within the air 50-plus instances have a report of 1-10, with the lone victory by Atlanta in opposition to Tampa Bay in Week 5 when Cousins threw for 509 yards.
Each Evans and Godwin are out tonight.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs prop bets and anytime TD scorer odds
For bettors in search of further motion on MNF apart from who wins and by what rating, choices are aplenty. Listed here are some prop wager choices from high sports activities betting apps, together with DraftKings, Guess365 and FanDuel. Caesars and BetMGM even have plenty of prop markets.
Anytime TD (FanDuel)
- Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt: -190
- Chiefs TE Travis Kelce: +120
- Bucs TE Cade Otton: +240
Odds to attain 2 TDs (FanDuel)
- Chiefs’ Kelce: +800
- (In each of the Bucs’ previous two video games, an opposing tight finish had two TDs)
Passing yards (DraftKings)
- Chiefs’ Mahomes 300-plus: +330
- Bucs’ Mayfield 300-plus: +475
Any group 40-plus factors (DraftKings)
- Sure: +500
- No: -900
Alternate level totals (Guess365)
- Over 65.5: +850
- Underneath 65.5: -2250
Bucs vs. Chiefs betting predictions: KC covers unfold in opposition to banged-up Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay shouldn’t be solely is down its high two WRs, however fellow wideouts Jalen McMillan and Sterling Shepard are each listed as questionable. So is its main rusher.
The Bucs will likely be hard-pressed to do a lot injury in opposition to KC’s fifth-ranked protection and hold tempo with Mahomes, who’s now working with not too long ago acquired WR DeAndre Hopkins, a five-time Professional Bowler.
Prediction: Chiefs -9; Underneath 45.5
